It’s long been expected that the Panthers will be without star winger Matthew Tkachuk to start the season as a result of the adductor injury he played through in last year’s postseason en route to his second straight Stanley Cup. Late last month, that was essentially confirmed with reports indicating Tkachuk’s surgery will keep him out past New Year’s, making him eligible to begin the season on long-term injured reserve and, at least for now, solving Florida’s cap woes. They likely won’t care too much about optimizing their LTIR pool since they’ll need flexibility to activate Tkachuk before the trade deadline, meaning they’ll only get about half the potential relief, but won’t need to make any other changes to their roster as the trade-off.
The Panthers did well to retain virtually their entire forward group, including their fourth-liners and press box fixtures, keeping the would-be free agents on deals close to or at the league minimum. They’ll still need to shed north of $4MM worth of cap hits from their roster when Tkachuk is ready to return, which should inform their early-season strategy in how they go about replacing his top-six minutes.
Long speculated as a trade candidate this offseason was Evan Rodrigues, at least until Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet threw cold water on the idea of them moving him before the start of the season a few weeks ago. Understandably, they wouldn’t want to be down a serviceable, versatile veteran with Tkachuk unavailable, but the reality stands that he’s a $3MM luxury they likely won’t be able to afford when he’s ready to return.
That could result in him seeing some consistent top-six deployment in Tkachuk’s absence to boost his trade value for when general manager Bill Zito’s hand is inevitably forced. The 32-year-old has two years left on the four-year commitment he signed with the Cats in 2023, and he’s coming off his worst offensive season since the pandemic on a per-game basis. His 0.39 points per game still worked out to a fine 15-17–32 scoring line in 82 games, but he’d been on pace for at least 40 points over a full schedule in each of the past few seasons.
That production dip came despite him spending most of his ice time in the regular season with Aleksander Barkov and Sam Reinhart at even strength. It’s worth noting he was coached into far more of a checking role than he was previously used to as the third wheel on that top unit, ending the season with a…
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