Predicting Boston Bruins’ Jeremy Swayman’s Next Contract

Signing players to their second NHL contract can be a difficult task. Whether a player has yet to consistently perform well, has performed in a small sample size, or has performed well for an extended period of time, there are a number of scenarios and situations that change the way teams and players negotiate contracts. When it comes to Jeremy Swayman, the Bruins have the team’s co-starting goalie and likely long-term franchise piece in the crease. While this is good news as a whole, the reality of the situation is that his contract is set to expire next offseason and a new contract must be negotiated.

Though the 23-year-old netminder has only played in a total of 51 games in his NHL career, the results he’s put up have been very encouraging, to say the least. Storming onto the scene during the 2020-21 season, Swayman would start 10 games and put together a 7-3-0 record, allowing just 15 goals on 271 shots – good for a .945 save percentage and 1.50 goals-against average. He’d also put together a goals-saved above average (GSAA) of 10 that season. Though he wouldn’t put together as strong a season during the 2021-22 season, he’d still perform well in the majority of his games during his official rookie season. In 41 games, he’d put together a record of 23-14-3 with a .914 save percentage and 2.41 goals-against average with a 7.3 GSAA.

Despite the small sample size, Swayman appears to be the real deal and has been an excellent presence in the crease for the Bruins despite his lack of experience. While some second-contract scenarios may be challenging, Swayman’s next deal seems to be setting itself up perfectly, assuming he doesn’t take a major step forward or backward this coming season. This doesn’t mean that there won’t be other things to consider, but recent contracts being signed by younger goaltenders as of late could set the stage for Swayman’s deal.

Swayman’s Next Deal Dependent on Multiple Factors

If we’re looking at comparable players to Swayman as far as age, relative experience and upside, Carter Hart, Jake Oettinger and Spencer Knight’s recent extensions should be the obvious starting point for Swayman. Hart would sign a three-year contract extension that carries a $3.97 million cap hit on Aug. 9, 2021. In September of 2022, both…